Experts: H5N1 Bird Flu Pandemic could be 100 Times Worse than COVID-19

The warning is specifically indicated for the H5N1 form of bird flu, which has been observed to be spreading rapidly among birds and mammals.
Renowned researchers investigating bird flu, have highlighted in recent briefings how critical it is to be ready for a possible H5N1 pandemic. (Representational image: Pixabay)
Renowned researchers investigating bird flu, have highlighted in recent briefings how critical it is to be ready for a possible H5N1 pandemic. (Representational image: Pixabay)
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Experts are warning people about the possibility of a bird flu pandemic that may be "100 times worse" than the COVID-19 epidemic. Recent events, such as outbreaks in Texas and Michigan poultry facilities as well as an uncommon human case in Texas, have raised concerns about a global pandemic with terrible consequences. This warning is specifically indicated for the H5N1 form of bird flu, which has been observed to be spreading rapidly among birds and mammals. This strain is much more dangerous than the current COVID-19, with a 50% fatality rate. A high fatality rate has been associated with the H5N1 strain.

Renowned researchers investigating bird flu, have highlighted in recent briefings how critical it is to be ready for a possible H5N1 pandemic. Famous Pittsburgh-based bird flu expert Dr. Suresh Kuchipudi emphasized the virus's worldwide distribution and capacity to infect a variety of mammalian hosts, including humans. He highlighted the significance of being prepared, saying that the virus is not just a potential threat but is actively spreading among people.

We are getting dangerously close to this virus potentially causing a pandemic. It is really high time that we are prepared.
Dr. Suresh Kuchipudi, Bird flu Researcher in Pittsburgh

John Fulton, a pharmaceutical industry consultant and BioNiagara founder, expressed similar concerns, comparing the potential severity of a bird flu pandemic to that of COVID-19. He underlined the importance of monitoring and awareness, mentioning the H5N1 virus's high mortality rate. Fulton also emphasized the important role that mutations could play in determining the course of the pandemic, expressing hope that any mutations might result in a fall in the number of deaths.

This appears to be 100 times worse than COVID, or it could be if it mutates and maintains its high case fatality rate. Once it’s mutated to infect humans, we can only hope that the [fatality rate] drops.
John Fulton, Pharmaceutical Industry Consultant and Founder of BioNiagara

Recent outbreaks of avian influenza on poultry farms in Michigan and Texas have raised fears about the virus's spread. It is extremely concerning that a dairy farm worker in Texas tested positive for H5N1, marking the first known instance of a human contracting bird flu through mammals. This represents an important move forward in the virus's spread and emphasizes the severity of the situation.

Experts have expressed concern that the H5N1 virus may have mutated, making it more contagious among people and potentially causing a worldwide pandemic. The virus has spread quickly among dairy cattle in several states, which underscores the necessity of being vigilant and ready to stop further transmission and minimize the possible effects of a pandemic.

The H5N1 bird flu is being closely monitored by US health officials, including the White House and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). (Representational image: Wikimedia commons)
The H5N1 bird flu is being closely monitored by US health officials, including the White House and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). (Representational image: Wikimedia commons)

Risk Assessment by Health Officials

The H5N1 bird flu is being closely monitored by US health officials, including the White House and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). They claim that there is currently a minimal threat to the public, despite acknowledging the gravity of the recent outbreaks and the potential that the virus might develop and infect humans.

Although the CDC confirms reports of H5N1 infection in people who have direct contact with infected animals, for example, dairy farm workers, it ensures that at this moment there are no alterations that would increase the virus's transmissibility to people.

Around 52 out of every 100 people diagnosed with H5N1 bird flu have died since 2003, with a total of 462 deaths out of 887 cases.
World Health Organization (WHO)

What is H5N1?

H5N1, a highly pathogenic strain of avian influenza. This is a type of virus that mainly infects birds but can also infect mammals and humans. It was first discovered in China in 1996 and, since then, has spread worldwide. H5N1 causes severe disease and frequently deadly infections in poultry, and while human cases are rare, they can lead to major complications and a high fatality rate. The virus has demonstrated the ability to adapt and infect a wide range of animal hosts, providing a serious pandemic risk.

Precautionary Measures and Vaccine Development

To prevent the spread of H5N1 and minimize its impact, preventative measures are currently being implemented, according to US health officials. These involve closely monitoring infected people, particularly those who have had direct contact with infected animals, as well as evaluating vaccine components. The United States maintains an inventory of bird flu vaccines matched to the current strain of H5N1, and pharmaceutical companies like Sanofi and Glasco-Smith are prepared to develop additional vaccines if needed. However, the efficiency of these interventions is dependent on constant surveillance, rapid response to outbreaks, and ongoing research into the virus's behavior and potential mutations.

(Input from various resources)

(Rehash/Susmita Bhandary/MSM)

Renowned researchers investigating bird flu, have highlighted in recent briefings how critical it is to be ready for a possible H5N1 pandemic. (Representational image: Pixabay)
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